Decision intelligence for institutions

Make complex decisions with a clearer view of the evidence, options, and trade-offs.

Pattern is being built for public and private institutions making high-consequence decisions under uncertainty. It brings evidence, constraints, scenarios, and decision reasoning into one auditable workflow.

Nigeria / Decision surface
Layered map of Nigeria with state boundaries, illustrative evidence points, and branching decision paths.01 / Evidence02 / Scenarios03 / Decision
Many signals. A structured decision.Conceptual illustration · No live data · Map source
Built from NigeriaEvidence → Options → Scenarios → Trade-offs → Decision → ReviewScroll to explore

The standard we are building for

Designed for decisions that need to be explainable, reviewable, and grounded in evidence.

Pattern separates what is observed, assumed, modelled, and decided so institutions can understand not only a conclusion, but the reasoning behind it.

01 / The decision workflow

From fragmented evidence
to an auditable decision

Complex decisions rarely suffer from a complete absence of information. Evidence can be fragmented, assumptions hidden, constraints distributed across systems, and trade-offs difficult to compare.

Pattern is being designed to make that process explicit.

Explore the six stages of an intended decision workflow

01 / Evidence

What do we know?

Establish what is known, what is disputed, what is missing, and where the evidence came from.

02 / Options

What could we do?

Define the actual actions available to the institution.

03 / Scenarios

What might follow?

Model how different choices may perform under explicit assumptions and uncertainty.

04 / Trade-offs

What are we balancing?

Compare cost, expected impact, risk, feasibility, timing, and institutional constraints.

05 / Decision

Why this choice?

Capture the selected option and the reasoning behind it.

06 / Review

What has changed?

Monitor outcomes and reassess the decision as evidence changes.

An intended workflow. Illustrations describe the process, not an institutional deployment.

03 / Decisions in practice

Built around decisions,
not datasets

Pattern starts with the decision an institution needs to make, then works backward to the evidence, constraints, and analysis required to support it.

Resource allocation

Which interventions should receive funding under a fixed budget?

Risk & response

Which risks require action now, monitoring, or additional evidence?

Portfolio choices

Which portfolio provides the strongest expected outcome within current constraints?

Assumptions & uncertainty

Which assumptions most affect the recommendation?

Accountability

What evidence supported this decision when it was approved?

Learning & adaptation

What changed after implementation?

Examples of intended decision workflows. These are not claims of existing institutional deployment.

04 / Our method

Evidence and models
should not be confused

Pattern is designed around explicit evidence boundaries. Observed evidence, reported claims, assumptions, model-derived outputs, and human judgment should remain distinguishable throughout the decision process.

Read the method
Observed evidenceWhat is established
Reported claimsWhat a source says
AssumptionsWhat is taken as given
Model-derived outputsWhat analysis suggests
Human judgmentWhat people decide

05 / Institutional use

Designed for organizations responsible for consequential choices

Pattern is intended for governments and public agencies, corporations, NGOs, infrastructure operators, and policy and strategy teams working where evidence is incomplete, resources are constrained, and decisions must withstand later scrutiny.

Potential areas of use.

06 / About Pattern

Built for decisions
that need to hold up later

Pattern is focused on the infrastructure behind institutional judgment: what was known, what was assumed, which alternatives were considered, why one option was selected, and what happened afterward.

Kanmi Obasa - Founder

About Pattern

Start a conversation

Working on a decision that is difficult to structure, compare, or defend?

Pattern is interested in institutional pilots, domain validation, research collaboration, and decision-workflow partnerships.

Institutional enquiries