Method / A basis for trust

Make the reasoning
open to scrutiny.

Pattern is designed around explicit evidence boundaries, visible uncertainty, and human review. A consequential decision should be understandable at the time it is made and examinable later.

Evidence and models should not be confused

What is known.
What is assumed.
What is decided.

These distinctions are the foundation of Pattern’s intended decision workflow.

01 / Provenance

Keep the source with the evidence.

Evidence should retain its origin, date, context, and relevant limitations. A later revision should not silently rewrite what was available when a decision was made.

02 / Evidence boundaries

Keep different kinds of knowledge distinct.

Observed evidence, reported claims, assumptions, model-derived outputs, and human judgment should carry explicit labels. Conflicting evidence and missing information remain visible.

03 / Explicit assumptions

Show what the analysis depends on.

Scenario inputs, constraints, and institutional priorities should be stated. A conclusion should be read alongside the assumptions that could change it.

04 / Uncertainty

Make room for what is unresolved.

Uncertainty belongs in the comparison of options. Scenario outcomes are conditional on their inputs; research-only models require appropriate domain validation before decision use.

05 / Reproducibility

Make the analytical basis reviewable.

Where appropriate, the evidence version, assumptions, and analytical context should be preserved so a reviewer can reproduce or examine the basis for a result.

06 / Human review

Keep accountability with people.

Institutional decision owners and relevant domain specialists should review evidence, assumptions, trade-offs, and limitations. Model-derived outputs inform judgment; approval remains a human responsibility.

07 / Decision records

Preserve why a choice was made.

The intended decision record connects the selected option with evidence, rationale, approvals, alternatives, and relevant dissent, then supports review as implementation and evidence evolve.

The process

From evidence to review

  1. Evidence

    Establish what is known, what is disputed, what is missing, and where the evidence came from.

  2. Options

    Define the actual actions available to the institution.

  3. Scenarios

    Model how different choices may perform under explicit assumptions and uncertainty.

  4. Trade-offs

    Compare cost, expected impact, risk, feasibility, timing, and institutional constraints.

  5. Decision

    Capture the selected option and the reasoning behind it.

  6. Review

    Monitor outcomes and reassess the decision as evidence changes.

Start a conversation

Working on a decision that is difficult to structure, compare, or defend?

Pattern is interested in institutional pilots, domain validation, research collaboration, and decision-workflow partnerships.

Institutional enquiries